Extinction Risks

          In this article from Nature Publishing Group in 2004 they discuss how climate change affects the distribution and abundance of species throughout the world.  They even used models to see different projections of populations in the future.  They used climate-envelope modelling, climate scenarios, species, and species-area approaches. Terry Root and Stephen Schneider did research as well on how climate changes effects ecological aspects of our world.  They looked at things such as pollen samples from previous ice ages.  They understood the importance of past changes in order to reconstruct behaviors for future models of ecosystems.

Root, T.L. & Schneider, S.H. (2006) Conservation and climate change: the challenges ahead. Conservation Biology, 20, 706–708. <http://www.sfbayjv.org/global_warming/Climate%20Change%20and%20Conservation-%20Challenges%20Ahead%20T%20Root%20%20S%20Schneider%202006.pdf>.


Thomas, C.D., Cameron, A., Green, R.E., Bakkenes, M., Beaumont, L.J., Collingham, Y.C., Erasmus, B.F.N., de Siqueira, M.F., Grainger, A., Hannah, L., Hughes, L., Huntley, B., van Jaarsveld, A.S., Midgley, G.F., Miles, L., Ortega-Huerta, M.A., Peterson, A.T., Phillips, O.L., Williams, S.E., 2004. Extinction risk from climate change. Nature 427, 145–148. <http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/83/1/thomascd1.pdf>.

Climate Models

    There are many different climate models and simulations that are made as future predictions to see how our everyday global choices will affect the future climate.  Different parameters are used and varied throughout trials to see how changes will play out through the years. Chapter 9 of Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis is all about projections of future climate change.  Throughout the chapter there is a review of past reports and how well they predicted the future as well as climate forcing and climate responses.  Later on there are a multitude of projections of climate change that were made with various models and variables.  Finally there is a summary of what the predictions for the future are as well as their appendix and references.





Cubasch, U., and Coauthors, 2001: Projections of future climate change. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, J. T. Houghton et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, 525–582.